Continental says AV revenues won’t be significant until 2030

FRANKFURT — Revenues from autonomous driving will not ramp up until 2030 and beyond, the CEO of German auto supplier Continental AG said on Thursday.

“Until 2030, the market will be driven mainly by assistance systems. Significant revenues will only come in 2030 and thereafter,” Elmar Degenhart said in response to a question about when the market for fully autonomous vehicles will take off.

Degenhart was speaking at a press conference on Thursday to discuss the company’s earnings.

Continental’s operating profit fell 12 percent last year, hit by an auto industry downturn and higher investments, but it pledged to press ahead with a listing of its powertrain business despite a subdued start to 2019.

Continental said on Thursday its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) fell to 4.03 billion euros ($4.56 billion) last year, compared with 3.94 billion forecast in a poll but said business this year was slow.

“Fiscal 2019 has got off to a subdued start, as expected, due to continuing market uncertainty,” the company said in a statement, reaffirming its lowered outlook for 2019.

In January, Continental said it expected to post an adjusted operating (EBIT) margin of between 8 and 9 percent, rather than more than 9 percent, blaming a downturn in car markets and higher investments.

“The guidance for 2019 is based in part on the assumption that the global production volume of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles will be stable at 94 million. Production in the first half of the year is likely to be down on last year’s figure,” Continental said.

Continental is pressing ahead with plans to list its powertrain business in the second half of 2019 and will rebrand the unit “Vitesco Technologies,” the company said.

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