Toyota, FCA, Ford, Nissan rise on higher pickup, SUV and crossover demand

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Automaker June 2018 June 2017 Pct. chng. 6 mos. 2018 6 mos. 2017 Pct. chng.
    BMW
    Mini
    Rolls-Royce*
  BMW of N.A.
    Alfa Romeo 2,249 1,017 121.1% 12,265 3,719 229.8%
    Chrysler 13,484 19,741 -31.7% 88,630 102,095 -13.2%
    Dodge 46,387 42,550 9.0% 250,933 260,980 -3.9%
    Fiat 1,426 2,242 -36.4% 8,285 14,682 -43.6%
    Jeep 86,989 73,153 18.9% 495,022 406,291 21.8%
    Ram 51,729 48,645 6.3% 260,341 279,595 -6.9%
  FCA US 202,264 187,348 8.0% 1,115,476 1,067,362 4.5%
    Maserati* 950 900 5.6% 5,563 6,720 -17.2%
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles 203,214 188,248 8.0% 1,121,039 1,074,082 4.4%
    Ford 220,003 217,891 1.0% 1,221,445 1,238,060 -1.3%
    Lincoln 9,534 9,275 2.8% 50,269 56,337 -10.8%
  Ford Motor Co. 229,537 227,166 1.0% 1,271,714 1,294,397 -1.8%
  General Motors*
    Acura
    Honda
  Honda Motor Co.
    Genesis
    Hyundai
    Hyundai Motor America
    Kia Motors America
  Hyundai-Kia
    Jaguar
    Land Rover
  Jaguar Land Rover N.A.
  Mazda N.A.
  McLaren Automotive 116 85 36.5% 680 387 75.7%
    Mercedes-Benz
    Smart USA
  Mercedes-Benz USA
  Mitsubishi Motors N.A.
    Infiniti
    Nissan
  Nissan North America
  Nissan/Mitsubishi**
  Subaru of America
  Tesla Motors* 6,000 4,400 36.4% 36,000 26,400 36.4%
    Lexus
    Scion
    Toyota
    Toyota/Scion
  Toyota Motor Sales U.S.A.
  Volvo Car USA
    Audi
    Bentley
    Lamborghini*
    Porsche
    VW
  VW Group of America
Other*** 260 255 2.0% 1,560 1,530 2.0%
Total 439,127 420,154 4.5% 2,430,993 2,396,796 1.4%

Numbers in this table are calculated by Automotive News based on actual monthly sales reported by the manufacturers and may differ from numbers reported elsewhere.
Source: Automotive News Data Center
Note:
*Estimate
**Renault-Nissan acquired controlling interest in Mitsubishi Motors on Oct. 20, 2016.
***Reflects Aston Martin, Ferrari and Lotus sales.

U.S. sales of Ford brand SUVs and crossovers rose 8.1 percent to 77,453 in June – a record for the month, Ford says. Photo credit: DAVID PHILLIPS

UPDATED: 7/3/18 10:30 am ET – adds details

Ford, Toyota, FCA, Honda and Nissan posted higher U.S. sales in June behind strong pickup, SUV and crossover demand.

Ford Motor Co.’s U.S. sales rose 1 percent in June behind higher pickup, SUV and crossover demand. Deliveries edged up 1 percent at the Ford brand and 2.8 percent at Lincoln.

Overall, Ford said its retail sales increased 2.9 percent to 156,788 last month while fleet volume dipped 2.3 percent to 73,847.

At Toyota Motor Corp., June volume jumped 3.6 percent behind a 13 percent gain in light-truck deliveries, which offset a 9.2 percent dip in car demand. Sales rose 4.4 percent at the Toyota division but fell 6.2 percent at Lexus.

FCA US, helped by stronger results at the Jeep and Ram brands, posted an eight percent increase in June U.S. sales. Volume rose 19 percent at Jeep, 6 percent at Ram and 9 percent at Dodge, while deliveries skidded 32 percent at the Chrysler brand and 36 percent at Fiat.

FCA said U.S. retail sales totaled 155,208 last month — its best June since 2004.

At Nissan Motor Co., June volume rose 1.2 percent, with sales up 2.5 percent at the Nissan brand but down 13 percent at Infiniti. Overall, Nissan Motor said its truck deliveries rose 9.7 percent last month while car sales dropped 7.5 percent.

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Honda Motor Co.’s light truck sales rose 12 percent to a June record of 78,483, offsetting weaker car volume and helping the company to a 4.8 percent overall gain for the month. June deliveries increased 5 percent at the Honda division and 3.5 percent at Acura.

When other automakers report results later today, analysts expect the industry to post an overall increase in June volume, driven by an extra weekend and early July 4 holiday promotions.

Analysts from LMC Automotive/J.D. Power, Edmunds and Cox Automotive project volume rose 2.1 percent to 3.4 percent last month from June 2017. It would be one of the industry’s lowest monthly increases so far in 2018 but the fourth gain.

Volume continues to be driven by a strong economy, job growth and healthy light-truck demand — notably crossovers. Low but rising finance rates are also supporting industry sales, automakers and analysts say.

SAAR outlook

Analysts polled by Bloomberg expect the seasonally adjusted sales rate for June to come in at 17 million, up from June 2017’s sale pace of 16.72 million and May’s 16.91 million rate.

The second quarter and first half SAAR are expected to be about 17.2 million units, General Motors said Tuesday. And the outlook for the second half of the year also looks strong, according to GM’s chief economist, Elaine Buckberg.

“Tax reform raised take-home pay, consumer confidence is high and household balance sheets are healthy,” Buckberg said Tuesday. “All of this plus a strong job market makes consumers more willing to commit to major purchases like vehicles.”

Trucks rule

Even amid rising U.S. gasoline prices, the steady consumer shift to crossovers, SUVs and pickups continued last month and is helping to propel average new transaction prices higher.

ALG estimates the average transaction price for a new light vehicle was $33,148 in June, up 0.7 percent from a year earlier.

Kelley Blue Book says June was a particularly strong month for pickups, as average prices for full-size models rose 5 percent to just over $49,000, behind new models and a richer trim mix. Pricing for midsize pickups, a segment without new products, climbed 3 percent in June, Kelley Blue Book says.

U.S. new-vehicle sales, after seven straight annual gains capped by a record 2016, dropped 1.8 percent to 17.25 million units last year.

Sales are up 1.2 percent through May but are still forecast to drop below 17 million for the first time in three years. Most 2018 estimates from analysts range from 16.7 million to 17.1 million units.

Company outlook

Ahead of today’s reports, June deliveries were projected by analysts polled by Bloomberg to fall at just one major automaker: Nissan Motor Co. It’s expected to record a 7 percent decline as the company dials back on fleet shipments and reduces incentives.

March deliveries were expected to rise 5.6 percent at General Motors, 1.2 percent at Ford Motor Co.; 7.4 percent at FCA US; 2.2 percent at Toyota Motor Corp., 2.5 percent at Honda Motor Co., 3.5 percent at Hyundai-Kia and 2.2 percent at VW-Audi.

Spiffs

The average new-vehicle incentive was tracking at $3,765 in the first three weeks of June, J.D. Power says. ALG estimates average new-vehicle incentives rose 4.6 percent from June 2017 to $3,779 last month, with the Detroit 3 among the biggest average spenders on deals.

 Odds & Ends

  • There were 27 selling days last month vs. 26 in June 2017.
  • The annual percentage rate on newly financed light vehicles averaged 5.82 percent in June, compared to 4.96 percent in June 2017 and 4.10 percent in June 2013, Edmunds says.
  • Zero percent financing loans reached their lowest level in nine years in June, constituting just 5.6 percent of total U.S. finance deals, compared to 9.47 percent in June 2017 and 10.55 percent in June 2013, Edmunds said.

  • Fleet sales are expected to account for 20 percent of U.S. light-vehicle deliveries in June, down slightly from June 2017, J.D. Power says.
  • The ratio of incentive spending to average transaction price is expected to be 11.4 percent in June, up from 11 percent a year earlier, ALG says.
  • Days to turn, the average number of days a new vehicle sits on a dealership lot before being sold to a retail customer, was 70 through June 17, flat with the same period in June 2017, J.D. Power says.
  • Light trucks accounted for 67 percent of U.S. light-vehicle deliveries in the first three weeks of the month, the highest level ever recorded in June, and the 24th straight month above 60 percent, J.D. Power says.

Quotable

“The U.S. market is virtually saturated. Add to that record-high vehicle prices, rising interest rates and historically high numbers of people who owe more than their cars are worth, and the stage is set for a market contraction.”

— Jeremy Acevedo, manager of industry analysis at Edmunds.

June U.S. incentive outlays

Manufacturer June 2018 forcast June 2017 May 2018 Percentage change vs June 2017 Percentage change vs May 2018
BMW (BMW, Mini) $5,585 $4,564 $5,609 22% -0.4%
Daimler (Mercedes-Benz, Smart) $5,759 $5,057 $6,055 14% -4.9%
FCA (Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, Ram, Fiat) $4,526 $4,387 $4,472 3.2% 1.2%
Ford (Ford, Lincoln) $4,400 $4,312 $4,345 2.1% 1.3%
GM (Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC) $5,256 $4,444 $5,330 18% -1.4%
Honda (Acura, Honda) $1,940 $2,007 $1,883 -3.3% 3%
Hyundai $2,809 $3,192 $2,807 -12% 0.1%
Kia $3,834 $3,437 $3,833 12% 0.0%
Nissan (Nissan, Infiniti) $3,703 $4,086 $3,665 -9.4% 1%
Subaru $1,499 $957 $1,464 57% 2.4%
Toyota (Lexus, Scion, Toyota) $2,288 $2,669 $2,222 -14% 3%
Volkswagen (Audi, Porsche, Volkswagen) $3,828 $3,149 $3,926 22% -2.5%
Industry $3,779 $3,612 $3,738 4.6% 1.1%

Source: ALG

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